My Research Data: The Science Behind My Calendars

As part of my commitment to providing accurate and trustworthy information, this page contains the raw data used to create my planting calendars. I compiled the frost dates below from trusted sources for several populous cities within each USDA Zone. From this data, I establish the two key baselines used throughout this site: the Aggressive Baseline (calculated from the average frost date) and the Safe Baseline (determined by the most conservative date).

A Quick Guide to the Baselines Below

  • Aggressive Spring Baseline: The calculated average of the last spring frost dates.
  • Safe Spring Baseline: The single latest last frost date from the data.
  • Aggressive Fall Baseline: The calculated average of the first fall frost dates.
  • Safe Fall Baseline: The single earliest first fall frost date from the data.

Wait, why is the “Aggressive” fall date later than the “Safe” one?

Good catch! This is intentional. The “Aggressive” fall strategy aims to maximize the growing season by pushing the harvest as late as possible. This requires planting later in the summer, which carries a higher risk of an unexpected early frost.

USDA Zone 4 Frost Date Data

City (Zip Code)Last Spring Frost DataFirst Fall Frost Data
55901,Rochester, MinnesotaMay 5Oct 1
54701,Eau Claire, WisconsinApr 30Oct 7
58102, Fargo, North DakotaMay 15Sep 25
58501, Bismarck, North DakotaMay 14Sep 25

Based on the data above, the four key baseline dates for the Zone 4 planting calendars are as follows:

  • Aggressive Spring Planting Baseline:May 9
  • Safe Spring Planting Baseline:May 15
  • Aggressive Fall Planting Baseline:Sep 30
  • Safe Fall Planting Baseline:Sep 25

USDA Zone 5 Frost Date Data

City (Zip Code)Last Spring Frost DataFirst Fall Frost Data
55401,Minneapolis, MinnesotaApr 30Oct 10
53701,Madison, WisconsinMay 7Oct 3
55101, Saint Paul, MinnesotaApr 30Oct 10
50303, Des Moines, lowaApr 24Oct 14

Based on the data above, the four key baseline dates for the Zone 5 planting calendars are as follows:

  • Aggressive Spring Planting Baseline:Apr 30
  • Safe Spring Planting Baseline:May 7
  • Aggressive Fall Planting Baseline:Oct 9
  • Safe Fall Planting Baseline:Oct 3

USDA Zone 6 Frost Date Data

City (Zip Code)Last Spring Frost DataFirst Fall Frost Data
60601,Chicago, lllinoisApr 17Nov 1
43201,Columbus, OhioApr 27Oct 20
46201,Indianapolis, IndianaApr 26Oct 16
80201,Denver, ColoradoMay 8Oct 2

Based on the data above, the four key baseline dates for the Zone 6 planting calendars are as follows:

  • Aggressive Spring Planting Baseline:Apr 27
  • Safe Spring Planting Baseline:May 8
  • Aggressive Fall Planting Baseline:Oct 18
  • Safe Fall Planting Baseline:Oct 2

USDA Zone 7 Frost Date Data

City (Zip Code)Last Spring Frost DataFirst Fall Frost Data
10001, New York, New YorkApr 3Nov 14
19101, Philadelphia, PennsylvaniaApr 4Nov 11
73101,Oklahoma City, OklahomaApr 8Oct 30
37210,Nashville,TennesseeApr 7Oct 25

Based on the data above, the four key baseline dates for the Zone 7 planting calendars are as follows:

  • Aggressive Spring Planting Baseline:Apr 6
  • Safe Spring Planting Baseline:Apr 8
  • Aggressive Fall Planting Baseline:Nov 5
  • Safe Fall Planting Baseline:Oct 25

USDA Zone 8 Frost Date Data

City (Zip Code)Last Spring Frost DataFirst Fall Frost Data
75201,Dallas, TexasMar 9Nov 20
76101,Fort Worth, TexasMar 12Nov 14
28201,Charlotte, North CarolinaApr 5Oct 30
20001,Washington, District of ColumbiaApr 3Nov 2

Based on the data above, the four key baseline dates for the Zone 8 planting calendars are as follows:

  • Aggressive Spring Planting Baseline:Mar 23
  • Safe Spring Planting Baseline:Apr 5
  • Aggressive Fall Planting Baseline:Nov 9
  • Safe Fall Planting Baseline:Oct 30

USDA Zone 9 Frost Date Data

City (Zip Code)Last Spring Frost DataFirst Fall Frost Data
77001,Houston, TexasFeb 18Dec 8
78201,San Antonio, TexasMar 5Nov 18
32201,Jacksonville, FloridaFeb 15Dec 24
78701,Austin, TexasMar 18Nov 10

Based on the data above, the four key baseline dates for the Zone 9 planting calendars are as follows:

  • Aggressive Spring Planting Baseline:Feb 28
  • Safe Spring Planting Baseline:Mar 18
  • Aggressive Fall Planting Baseline:Nov 30
  • Safe Fall Planting Baseline:Nov 10

By making this data publicly available, I hope to earn your trust and empower you with the knowledge that your planting calendars are based on sound, verifiable science. To understand how I use these dates to create your custom calendars, please visit the “My Methodology” page.